cognitive bias quotes

All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes, and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome.

We misjudge risk if we feel we have some control over it, even if it’s an illusory sense of control.

There are some ideas so wrong that only a very intelligent person could believe in them.

What we wish, we readily believe, and what we ourselves think, we imagine others think also.

The moment we want to believe something, we suddenly see all the arguments for it, and become blind to the arguments against it.

People are usually more convinced by reasons they discovered themselves than by those found by others.